Käerjéng 97 vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
16º
14º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Käerjéng 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
USM
1 - 1
KAE
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 8
DIF
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 2
KAE
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 3
ETZ
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
4 - 1
KAE
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 3
F91
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MON
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USM
0 - 4
SWI
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 0
DIF
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |