Kadakas Kernu vs Rasmus Värki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kadakas Kernu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
KER
0 - 8
LEV
3%
7%
91%
|
8 | 76 | 68 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
KER
0 - 2
KAI
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
KER
0 - 3
KUR
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
KER
1 - 2
SAA
41%
24%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KER
3 - 0
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |