Kadakas Kernu vs Rasmus Värki analysis


8	ELO	6
1.3%	Tilt	0%
27127º	General ELO ranking	33243º
156º	Country ELO ranking	225º
ELO win probability

49%

Kadakas Kernu

21.9%

Draw

29%

Rasmus Värki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

49%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%

21.9%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

9.4%

2-2

6.7%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

21.9%

29.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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