CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 1-3
JS Kabylie vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Kabylie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TPM
3 - 1
JSK
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
JSK
3 - 2
KHR
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HEA
1 - 1
JSK
41%
29%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
JSK
1 - 0
ISM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
JSK
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TPM
3 - 1
JSK
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TPM
1 - 1
VCL
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VCL
0 - 0
TPM
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SET
0 - 0
TPM
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TPM
2 - 1
DYN
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |