CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-3
JS Kabylie vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Kabylie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
2 - 0
BBA
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
USM
0 - 1
JSK
47%
28%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
JSK
2 - 1
BEL
56%
26%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
KHR
1 - 1
JSK
37%
30%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
JSK
0 - 0
USM
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POL
2 - 1
TRI
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 0
TRI
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
AAA
0 - 1
TRI
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
6 - 0
POL
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 1
AWT
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |