Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
KAA Gent vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GEN
0 - 1
SDL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KVK
0 - 2
GEN
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KSV
1 - 3
GEN
27%
25%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
GEN
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
NAF
1 - 0
DIN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GRA
0 - 2
NAF
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAF
2 - 1
SHA
31%
23%
45%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |