KAA Gent vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 0
KVK
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 2
SPB
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 2
GEN
17%
25%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 0
WAA
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
3 - 5
SHA
34%
24%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOK
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LOK
0 - 0
KVM
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
EUP
2 - 2
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 2
OOS
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |