KAA Gent vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
STR
1 - 1
GEN
18%
23%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
WSW
0 - 2
GEN
26%
22%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
LOK
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
ZUL
2 - 2
GEN
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 2
BRU
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
KVC
1 - 2
LIE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
LIE
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
LIE
2 - 1
KVC
43%
26%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
AND
6 - 0
LIE
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |