KAA Gent vs Heur Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.4%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AND
0 - 0
GEN
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GEN
1 - 1
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LEU
0 - 3
GEN
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
GNK
1 - 1
GEN
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 1
ANT
38%
25%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heur Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HET
3 - 0
SGT
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 0
HET
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HAD
3 - 0
HET
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
HET
1 - 1
BOC
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HET
2 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |