Europa League 1/32
Global 4-5
KAA Gent vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
BEE
1 - 2
GEN
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
GEN
1 - 0
LIE
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 1
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
LOK
2 - 1
GEN
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
THO
0 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
5 - 1
HFC
64%
20%
15%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
2 - 1
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NAC
1 - 1
HFC
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |