Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 2-0
KAA Gent vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 1
KVC
56%
22%
22%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 2
SIF
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
GEN
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SIF
2 - 2
GEN
27%
23%
51%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
GEN
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 2
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
ZEL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |