KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
BRU
5 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 1
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
SDL
0 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 0
AND
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
ZUL
2 - 1
EXC
49%
23%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
KSK
1 - 0
EXC
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 0
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LIE
2 - 0
EXC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |