KAA Gent vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
0 - 2
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
BRU
1 - 1
GEN
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
KVC
2 - 2
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
ANT
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
RAA
1 - 2
EXC
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 0
CER
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GNK
2 - 0
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIE
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |