KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
8º
7º
34
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
KAA
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
KAA
1 - 5
BRU
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KAA
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
BRU
5 - 1
KAA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 2
KAA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 1
KRR
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FYL
0 - 4
STJ
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IBV
0 - 2
STJ
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
STJ
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 0
FRA
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |