UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
KA Akureyri vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2003 |
KAA
1 - 2
VAL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
KAA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2003 |
IAA
1 - 1
KAA
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
KAA
3 - 0
KRR
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
THR
3 - 1
KAA
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 1
KAA
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 5
SLO
13%
24%
63%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
SLO
4 - 2
RUD
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ZEP
1 - 0
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SLO
4 - 0
SIR
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |