KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
3º
2º
22
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 10 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 8 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 8 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 5 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 5 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 4 |
6º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KA Akureyri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KAA
3 - 3
HKK
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 0
VIK
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IAA
1 - 0
KAA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 3
BRE
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
KAA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
KR Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KRR
2 - 2
VES
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
KRR
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KRR
0 - 3
VIK
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRR
4 - 2
IAA
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HKK
3 - 2
KRR
18%
21%
60%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |