Alliance FC vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
JOK
2 - 1
JKJ
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
JKJ
2 - 0
NOM
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JKJ
4 - 0
VJK
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
KEI
4 - 1
JKJ
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
JKJ
4 - 1
PAI
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCE
2 - 0
WEL
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 3
TFS
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LEV
4 - 0
WEL
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
WEL
4 - 0
TIN
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +4 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
WEL
0 - 5
MAA
10%
16%
73%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |