Alliance FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 0
JKJ
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
JKJ
0 - 4
MAA
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 0
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
NOM
0 - 0
JKJ
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FCE
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
FLO
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
NOM
2 - 2
PAR
73%
15%
12%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
TAM
46%
22%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
LEV
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
MAA
2 - 1
PAR
52%
21%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |