Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 1
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAB
7 - 4
JKJ
92%
6%
2%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
FLO
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
JKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
0 - 6
NOM
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
3 - 2
TJK
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
0 - 0
PAI
78%
13%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAB
30%
22%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
PAI
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |