Alliance FC vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 2
FCE
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
JKJ
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
FLO
6 - 1
JKJ
91%
7%
3%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 0
JKJ
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 3
FCT
11%
18%
72%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 0
TJK
39%
22%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 5
TAB
26%
21%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
VJK
2 - 0
PAI
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 3
PAI
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
NOM
21%
20%
59%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |