Alliance FC vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
TDU
2 - 0
JKJ
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 0
JKJ
66%
18%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 5
EMM
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
JKJ
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 3
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 2
TJK
73%
16%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NOM
3 - 1
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCE
0 - 2
NOM
28%
22%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 0
FCE
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |