Alliance FC vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
40
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
JKJ
3 - 4
TJK
32%
20%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
2%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 3
VJK
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
JKJ
86%
10%
5%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JKJ
1 - 5
FCT
9%
16%
75%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
TAB
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 4
FLO
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCE
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
VJK
4 - 0
FCE
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 0
PAI
47%
22%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |