Bocholter vs St. Truiden 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
13º
11º
2
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bocholter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
2 - 0
HAD
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 0
KVV
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 0
KVV
68%
17%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 3
KVV
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
HOU
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STT
0 - 0
RUP
12%
19%
69%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
STT
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | -1 |