JPS vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
8º
30
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JBK
0 - 0
JPS
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JPS
8 - 1
OTP
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 3
JPS
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
GBK
2 - 1
JPS
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
JPS
0 - 2
SJJ
22%
19%
60%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 0
OTP
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GBK
3 - 2
NAR
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
KUO
50%
20%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
JBK
2 - 4
NAR
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 1
OPS
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |