Galaxy FC vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galaxy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAL
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GAL
0 - 0
TAF
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
EXT
0 - 1
GAL
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SUA
1 - 1
GAL
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
ORA
1 - 1
GAL
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 3
GAL
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 0
BOT
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SES
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
VTM
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |