Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-4
JV Lideral vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JV Lideral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JVL
1 - 2
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 1
JVL
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
IAP
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
IAP
1 - 2
JVL
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
JVL
3 - 0
IMP
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
COR
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
PPE
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
PPE
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |