Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Juventus U19 vs Lazio U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRA
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
JUV
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
JUV
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
67%
17%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
LAZ
10%
17%
73%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -3 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 3
NAP
88%
8%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 6
LAZ
7%
15%
78%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |