Juventus SC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
CRI
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
JUV
81%
13%
5%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
BRU
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
FFL
1 - 4
JUV
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
ECP
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
0 - 0
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |