Juventus SC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
CHA
19%
25%
57%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
8 - 0
JUV
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
70%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAM
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRI
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |