Nicaragua - Relegation Play Offs Final
Global 0-1
Juventus FC vs Matagalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
44.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 2
JUV
12%
16%
72%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
EST
4 - 2
JUV
86%
11%
4%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
EST
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEP
2 - 1
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matagalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
MFC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
MAN
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 2
MFC
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 1
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 2
MFC
18%
22%
61%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |