Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-0
Juventus vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
CAT
3 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
UNI
0 - 1
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAG
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
MES
1 - 1
JUV
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ANT
1 - 1
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
UNI
0 - 1
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIE
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
CER
1 - 2
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
UNI
1 - 2
LIE
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |