UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 4-2
Juventus vs Stade Rennais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
JUV
5 - 1
FCR
79%
15%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
FCR
0 - 4
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
JUV
0 - 0
FCC
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
FCC
1 - 1
JUV
21%
28%
51%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1999 |
JUV
1 - 1
UDI
61%
21%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
REN
1 - 3
PSG
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
AUS
2 - 2
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
MET
0 - 0
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
REN
2 - 0
AUS
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
REN
1 - 0
SCA
77%
15%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |