Champions League 1/16
Global 3-4
Juventus vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
JUV
4 - 0
ARZ
91%
6%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SGD
2 - 0
JUV
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 5
JUV
23%
28%
49%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 1
ASC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
SGD
2 - 0
JUV
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
ROS
2 - 0
SGD
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
SGD
2 - 2
CHL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
CHE
4 - 4
SGD
28%
28%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
SGD
5 - 2
BSG
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |