Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
41%
30%
29%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ASC
1 - 0
JUV
26%
30%
44%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
ROM
37%
31%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ROM
3 - 0
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
ROM
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
47%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |