Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 1
USA
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
SAM
3 - 2
JUV
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ATL
0 - 0
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
NAP
4 - 3
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1958 |
ROM
5 - 1
SAM
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ROM
2 - 1
USA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 3
ACM
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VIC
3 - 1
ROM
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |