Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1956 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1956 |
JUV
2 - 2
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 2
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
FIO
2 - 0
JUV
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 1
TRI
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
VIC
2 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |