Juventus vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
JUV
5 - 2
FIO
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASL
87%
9%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
TOR
3 - 1
ROM
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |