Champions League Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Juventus vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
JUV
8%
18%
74%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
UDI
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 2
JUV
39%
26%
36%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 3
RMA
5%
12%
83%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 3
GIR
92%
6%
2%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
EIB
1 - 2
RMA
12%
17%
71%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
PSG
1 - 2
RMA
37%
22%
41%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
GET
90%
7%
2%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |