Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Juventus vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
JUV
5 - 0
REG
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PRG
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
47%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
JUV
0 - 1
REG
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
JUV
4 - 0
BAS
66%
21%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
UDI
0 - 0
PRG
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PRG
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
PRG
2 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 1
PRG
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PRG
0 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |