Juventus vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
MAL
61%
21%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
SLB
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
2 - 1
PAR
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
VAR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
SLP
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOL
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |