Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Juventus vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
JUV
3 - 0
AVE
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
40%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
PAN
1 - 0
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
VER
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
PAN
2 - 1
PAO
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
PAN
1 - 0
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
IRA
0 - 0
PAN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
PAN
1 - 0
ETH
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
AUX
3 - 2
PAN
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |