Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Juventus vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
INT
0 - 0
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIC
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PIA
0 - 2
JUV
28%
27%
46%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
JUV
2 - 4
PAR
55%
24%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 0
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
OFI
1 - 2
OLP
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1999 |
OLP
5 - 0
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PAN
0 - 2
OLP
17%
23%
60%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1999 |
OLP
0 - 0
APS
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
AEK
2 - 0
OLP
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |