Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Juventus vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
JUV
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 1
JUV
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 1
JUV
35%
23%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 1
BEO
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
TOT
3 - 1
BEO
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEO
1 - 2
TOT
29%
22%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
BEO
3 - 1
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |