Juventus vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SAM
2 - 0
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
JUV
0 - 4
FIO
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 2
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
3 - 2
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |