Juventus vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
INT
3 - 0
JUV
58%
20%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
JUV
4 - 1
PAL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
COM
1 - 0
JUV
29%
22%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
TOR
1 - 4
JUV
58%
20%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
JUV
3 - 2
NAP
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
GEN
3 - 0
NOV
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
NOV
4 - 2
LAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
NAP
3 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 2
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |