Juventus vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAD
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
PAL
0 - 0
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
JUV
3 - 1
PRO
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
INT
2 - 4
JUV
55%
21%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ACM
5 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
VNZ
0 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |