Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 2-1
Juventus vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
<0%
+6
7.2%
5-0
10.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
15%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17.8%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
4.5%
0.9%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
71%
18%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
JUV
5 - 0
RAP
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
ROM
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUV
4%
16%
80%
|
92 | 52 | 40 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUV
4%
16%
80%
|
52 | 92 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 2
NOC
79%
16%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PRG
17%
26%
57%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PIA
10%
25%
65%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
NOC
0 - 2
PIS
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |