Juventus vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 6
JUV
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
21%
22%
58%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
53%
21%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 1
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAP
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |