Juventus vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAL
92%
6%
3%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
TOR
1 - 2
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 3
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 1
NAP
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |