Juventus vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
JUV
1 - 0
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
USA
2 - 3
JUV
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
GEN
0 - 3
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
JUV
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 0
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1930 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
23%
20%
57%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
NAP
4 - 1
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
NAP
2 - 0
LIV
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 3
NAP
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |