Juventus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
INT
4 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
MOD
55%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
22%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |